PMA releases Business Conditions Report for February 2013.
Press Release Summary:
February 27, 2013 - According to February 2013 PMA Business Conditions Report, 37% of participants predict that economic activity will improve during next 3 months, up from 32% in January, while 55% believe that activity will remain unchanged, and only 8% anticipate decline, down significantly from 18% in January. Metalforming companies also expect incoming orders to strengthen, with 50% forecasting increase in orders, up from 44% in January, and 11% predicting decrease in orders, down from 25% in January.
Original Press Release
Business Conditions Report: February 2013
Press release date: February 19, 2013
The February report shows that 37% of participants predict that economic activity will improve during the next three months (up from 32% in January), 55% believe that activity will remain unchanged (up from 50% last month) and only 8% anticipate that activity will decline (down significantly from 18% in January).
Metalforming companies also expect incoming orders to strengthen during the next three months, with 50% forecasting an increase in orders (up from 44% in January), 39% expecting no change (compared to 31% last month) and 11% predicting a decrease in orders (down from 25% in January).
Average daily shipping levels rose significantly February. Forty percent of participants report that shipping levels are above levels of three months ago (up from 21% in January), 37% report that shipping levels are the same as three months ago (compared to 38% in January), and 23% report a decrease in shipping levels (down from 41% in January).
The percentage of metalforming companies with a portion of their workforce on short time or layoff increased to 19% in February, up from 15% in January. The February figure is higher than it was one year ago when metalformers reported only 7% of workers on short time or layoff.
“Data in this month’s report anticipating an improvement in orders and shipments have been echoed by participants in recent executive roundtables held in Connecticut, Massachusetts and California over the past few weeks,” said William E. Gaskin, PMA president. “A more positive outlook for the balance of 2013’s Q-1 is a welcome improvement compared to the soft 2012 Q-4 experienced by most metalforming companies. The Institute for Supply Management’s PM report, which includes the metalforming industry, also has recently trended upward. Growth is expected to be modest but should continue throughout the spring unless a lack of leadership in Washington, D.C. leads to an economic shock resulting from sequestration or other issues.”
The monthly Business Conditions Report has been conducted by PMA since 1979. Full report results are available at http://www.pma.org/public/business_reports/pdf/BCREP.pdf. PMA is the full-service trade association representing the $113-billion metalforming industry of North America—the industry that creates precision metal products using stamping, fabricating, spinning, slide forming and roll forming technologies, and other value-added processes. Its nearly 900 member companies also include suppliers of equipment, materials and services to the industry. PMA leads innovative member companies toward superior competitiveness and profitability through advocacy, networking, statistics, the PMA Educational Foundation, FABTECH and METALFORM tradeshows, MetalForming magazine and Fabricating Product News.