PMA releases Business Conditions Report for June 2010.
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Press Release Summary:
According to June 2010 Business Conditions Report, metalforming companies expect business conditions to dip during next 3 months, an indication of typical summer slowdown. Metalforming companies also anticipate modest softening for incoming orders, although 30% of participants forecast increase in orders for next 3 months, down from 46% in May. Forty-eight percent reported that average daily shipping levels are above levels of 3 months ago, while 43% report no change.
Original Press Release:
Business Conditions Report: June 2010
CLEVELAND, OH - According to the June 2010 Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report, metalforming companies expect business conditions to dip during the next three months, an indication of the summer slowdown typically experienced by the industry. Conducted monthly, the report is an economic indicator for manufacturing, sampling 131 metalforming companies in the United States and Canada.
The June report shows that 24% of participants expect an improvement in economic activity during the next three months (down from 42% in May), 59% predict that activity will remain unchanged (up from 48% last month) and 17% report that activity will decline (up from 10% in May).
Metalforming companies also anticipate a modest softening for incoming orders, although 30% of participants forecast an increase in orders for the next three months (down substantially from 46% in May). Forty-seven percent of companies expect no change (compared to 39% the previous month) and 23% predict a decrease in orders (up from 15% in May).
However, average daily shipping levels remained fairly steady in June. Forty-eight percent of participants reported that average daily shipping levels are above levels of three months ago (down from 54% in May), 43% report no change (compared to 34% in May) and nine percent report that shipping levels are below levels of three months ago (down from 12% in May).
The percentage of metalforming companies with a portion of their workforce on short time or layoff dropped again in June, with only 27% of companies reporting workers on short time or layoff, compared to 30% in May. This marks the lowest level since September 2008.
"The metalforming industry appears to be reacting to seasonal business trends and continuing concern about the strength of the economic recovery due to slow job growth, a cautious consumer, credit issues and perhaps from uncertainties from the Gulf oil spill," said William E. Gaskin, PMA president. "The outlook for new orders remains strong, even though it is somewhat softer than it has been over the past few months. The June 2010 outlook for new orders is almost precisely at the average levels of the past 30 years - which reflects 32 percent anticipating an increase (vs 30 percent this year); 45 percent expecting no change (vs 47 percent in 2010) and 23 percent expecting a decrease (identical to 2010 levels). And only 9 percent of members anticipate that their shipments during the next three months will decline over their current levels."
Read and respond to Mr. Gaskin's blog on business conditions: www.pma.org/blog.
The monthly Business Conditions Report has been conducted by PMA since 1979. Full report results are available at pma.org/public/business_reports/pdf/BCREP.pdf. PMA is the full-service trade association representing the $113-billion metalforming industry of North America - the industry that creates precision metal products using stamping, fabricating, spinning, slide forming and roll forming technologies, and other value-added processes. Its nearly 1,000 member companies also include suppliers of equipment, materials and services to the industry. PMA leads innovative member companies toward superior competitiveness and profitability through advocacy, networking, statistics, the PMA Educational Foundation, FABTECH and METALFORM tradeshows, and MetalForming magazine.
