IPC releases PCB industry results for September 2009.November 10, 2009 -
According to IPC's North American PCB Statistical Program, rigid PCB shipments declined 15.9% and bookings were down 7.8% in Sept 2009 from Sept 2008. Compared to previous month, rigid PCB shipments grew by 21.7% and rigid bookings increased 29.7%. Flexible circuit shipments in Sept 2009 went up 7.9% and bookings increased 12.1% compared to September 2008. Compared to previous month, flexible circuit shipments went up 22.0% and flex bookings increased 48.1%.
IPC Releases PCB Industry Results for September 2009
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IPC-Association Connecting Electronics Industries
3000 Lakeside Drive
Bannockburn, IL, 60015
Press release date: October 30, 2009
BANNOCKBURN, Ill., USA, October 30, 2009 - IPC - Association Connecting Electronics Industries® announced today the September findings from its monthly North American Printed Circuit Board (PCB) Statistical Program.
PCB Industry Growth Rates and Book-to-Bill Ratios Announced
Rigid PCB shipments declined 15.9 percent and bookings were down 7.8 percent in September 2009 from September 2008. Year to date, rigid PCB shipments were down 27.3 percent and bookings fell by 24.7 percent. Compared to the previous month, rigid PCB shipments grew by 21.7 percent and rigid bookings increased 29.7 percent. The book-to-bill ratio for the North American rigid PCB industry in September 2009 remained at 1.09.
Flexible circuit shipments in September 2009 went up 7.9 percent and bookings increased 12.1 percent compared to September 2008. Year to date, flexible circuit shipments were down 1.5 percent and bookings were down 4.9 percent. Compared to the previous month, flexible circuit shipments went up 22.0 percent and flex bookings increased 48.1 percent. The North American flexible circuit book-to-bill ratio in September 2009 climbed to 0.95.
For rigid PCBs and flexible circuits combined, industry shipments in September 2009 decreased 14.3 percent from September 2008 and orders booked decreased 6.4 percent from September 2008. Year to date, combined industry shipments were down 25.5 percent and bookings were down 23.4 percent. Compared to the previous month, combined industry shipments for September 2009 increased 21.8 percent and bookings went up 31.0 percent. The combined (rigid and flex) industry book-to-bill ratio in September 2009 reached 1.08.
"We're finally starting to see the turnaround in the September numbers for the North American PCB industry," said IPC President Denny McGuirk. "Both rigid PCB and flexible circuit sales and orders are up by double digits compared to August. Rigid PCB sales and orders are still below September of last year, but the rate of decline is shrinking. Flexible circuit business is ahead of September last year. The most promising indicator is the book-to-bill ratio at 1.08," he added. "It has been above parity for five consecutive months."
The book-to-bill ratios are calculated by dividing the value of orders booked over the past three months by the value of sales billed during the same period from companies in IPC's survey sample. A ratio of more than 1.00 suggests that current demand is ahead of supply, which is a positive indicator for sales growth over the next two to six months.
Book-to-bill ratios and growth rates for rigid PCBs and flexible circuits combined are heavily affected by the rigid PCB segment. Rigid PCBs represent an estimated 91 percent of the current PCB industry in North America, according to IPC's World PCB Production and Laminate Market Report. The Role of Domestic Production
IPC's monthly survey of the North American PCB industry tracks bookings and shipments from U.S. and Canadian facilities, which provide indicators of regional demand. These numbers do not measure U.S. and Canadian PCB production. To track regional production trends, however, IPC asks survey participants for the percent of their reported shipments that were produced domestically (i.e., in the USA or Canada). In September 2009, 84 percent of total PCB shipments reported were domestically produced. Domestic production accounted for 84 percent of rigid PCB and 86 percent of flexible circuit shipments in September by IPC survey participants. These numbers are significantly affected by the mix of companies in IPC's survey sample, which may change slightly in January, but are kept constant through the calendar year.
Bare Circuits versus Assembly
Flexible circuit sales typically include value-added services such as assembly, in addition to the bare flex circuits. In September, the flexible circuit manufacturers in IPC's survey sample indicated that bare circuits accounted for approximately 65 percent of their shipment value reported for the month. Assembly and other services make up a large and growing segment of flexible circuit producers' businesses. This figure is also sensitive to changes in the survey sample, which may occur at the beginning of each calendar year.
Interpreting the Data
Year-on-year and year-to-date growth rates provide the most meaningful view of industry growth. Month-to-month comparisons should be made with caution as they may reflect cyclical effects. Because bookings tend to be more volatile than shipments, changes in the book-to-bill ratios from month to month may not be significant unless a trend of three consecutive months or more is apparent. It is also important to consider changes in bookings and shipments to understand what is driving changes in the book-to-bill ratio.
The information in IPC's monthly PCB industry statistics is based on data provided by a representative sample of both rigid and flexible PCB manufacturers in the USA and Canada. IPC publishes the PCB Book-to-Bill Ratio and the PCB Statistical Program Report each month. Statistics for the previous month are not available until the last week of the following month.
IPC (www.IPC.org) is a global trade association based in Bannockburn, Ill., dedicated to the competitive excellence and financial success of its 2,700 member companies which represent all facets of the electronics industry, including design, printed board manufacturing, electronics assembly and test. As a member-driven organization and leading source for industry standards, training, market research and public policy advocacy, IPC supports programs to meet the needs of an estimated $1.7 trillion global electronics industry. IPC maintains additional offices in Taos, N.M.; Arlington, Va.; Garden Grove, Calif.; Stockholm, Sweden; Moscow, Russia; and Shanghai and Shenzhen, China.