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April 17, 2007
Offshore Labor Cost Advantages Decline
In today's global business ecology, the offshoring issue seems to have become "if you don't do it, you won't survive," an attitude that's emerging in virtually every industry across the globe. Yet the relative cost advantage of the leading offshore destinations declined almost universally last year, while their scores for people skills and business environment rose significantly, according to A.T. Kearney's latest offshore outsourcing report.
Ever since the offshore shift of skilled work began a political flame war a few years ago, it has been portrayed as the killer of well-paying jobs "at home." These "Benedict Arnold CEOs" hire software engineers, assembly workers, design engineers and IT staff (not to mention credit-card bill collectors and computer help desks) to exploit the low wages of poor nations. United States workers suddenly face a cutthroat threat, with even highly educated tech and service professionals having to compete against legions of hungry college grads in India and China, as well as in the Philippines, willing to work twice as hard for one-fifth the pay.
Workers' fears have some grounding, in fact, as a special report by BusinessWeek on outsourcing noted earlier this year:
The prime motive of most corporate bean counters jumping on the offshoring bandwagon has been to take advantage of such 'labor arbitrage' the huge wage gap between industrialized and developing nations. And without doubt, big layoffs often accompany big outsourcing deals.
Nonetheless, because all companies are now operating in a global business ecology, the offshoring issue at this point seems to have become a matter of business survival, an attitude that is emerging in corporations across the U.S. and Europe in virtually every industry.
Moreover, "multinationals based in France, Germany, Spain, Japan, Canada, Australia and elsewhere have recently begun adopting offshoring so they can compete with other multinationals based out of the United States and the United Kingdom the traditional offshore service buyers," said international management consulting firm A.T. Kearney's "Execution Is Everything: The Keys to Offshore Success" report earlier this year.
To wit, offshoring, especially to India, has become an important issue in Australia. According to Global Services, many of Australia's largest companies have outsourced operations offshore, mostly to India. It is mostly large and high-profile Australian companies that are outsourcing IT and other work to foreign countries. The banks are leading the way.
Companies continue to pursue offshoring aggressively moving selected functions or processes to places in the world where they can be conducted at lower cost, either by third parties or by their own efforts.
The changes can be harsh and deep. But "a more enlightened, strategic view of global sourcing is starting to emerge as managers get a better fix on its potential," noted BusinessWeek's special report in January. The new buzzword is "transformational outsourcing."
Many executives are discovering offshoring is really about corporate growth, making better use of skilled U.S. staff, and even job creation in the U.S., not just cheap wages abroad. True, the labor savings from global sourcing can still be substantial. But it's peanuts compared to the enormous gains in efficiency, productivity, quality and revenues that can be achieved by fully leveraging offshore talent.
Is it?
The cost advantages of outsourcing overseas are beginning to narrow as wages for workers providing services in China, India and other popular outsourcing locations rise at an annual rate of 20 percent to 40 percent, according to A.T. Kearney's latest annual outsourcing survey.
"What is most striking about the results of this year's Global Services Location Index is how the relative cost advantage of the leading offshore destinations declined almost universally, while their scores for people skills and business environment rose significantly," Paul Laudicina, managing officer and chairman of A.T. Kearney, said in an announcement.
One reason is that the countries showing accelerated growth in wages (and currency appreciation) are also showing an improvement in the quality of their workforce. "Key emerging markets have continued to improve their attractiveness in terms of talent, industry experience, quality certifications and their regulatory environment," according to the report.
"Skills are rising sharply in these countries," Financial Week recently quoted Martin Walker, senior director of the Global Business Policy Council (the A.T. Kearney unit that sponsored the survey), as having said. "The ongoing reason for the attractiveness of these places won't be costs; it will be the increasing skills of their labor force."
One indication of the improving skills of workers is the double-digit increases in university enrollment reported by China, Brazil and Egypt, Walker said.
At the same time that quality talent has increased wages, some other costs most notably in telecommunications have actually declined. Further, the offshoring labor savings are expected to last another 20 years, only at smaller rates.
"[The study's] findings reinforce the message that corporations making global location decisions should focus less on short-term cost considerations, and more on long-term projections of talent supply and operating conditions," Laudicina said.
A.T. Kearney's annual survey ranks 50 countries according to 40 different statistics that measure the cost of doing business in each country, the quality of its workers and its business environment. The latest survey was conducted over two months in the fourth quarter of 2006.
Asian countries continue to dominate the A.T. Kearney rankings: India is first, China is second, and six other Asian countries are among the top 10 (See Asia's Major Players). And while the survey notes that Latin American countries improved in the rankings this year, the index has an increasing number of African countries, too.
See also:
Outsourcing's Future Holds Major Surprises for Global Providers
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8 CommentsGreat article. As someone who has done a lot of outsourcing, the savings aren't as big as you might think. From mixed-up schedules to the always present communication issues. Great in theory...anyone get it to really work out there?
April 17, 2007 2:07 PMVery good article and very true.
The story tells us the end of the American Empire. I say that because the trend changes. From the beginning of outsourcing, when the purpose was to maximize profits and provide cheap products to the USA, we can see the shift where companies prepare and position themselves in being a big player in the huge markets that are China and India.
In other words, the run is now for who can sell the most not in USA, but in China or India. Mind you, they still sell in the USA because almost everything is imported from there nowadays.
In the near future, I can see two things happening:
1. We will increase sales to these countries to the point where sales to US markets will become a percentage of the business of these companies and US will not be the main market anymore.
2. When that point is reached, the race to the Bottom is over and these countries will start the race to the Top. What that means is that they will raise taxes since they will need to develop infrastructure, services, army, health system etc. (what we did in the 60's and 70's). At that point, the labor market in these countries will not be that advantageous anymore and the wages will rise, while in US the wages will go down (as they presently do) due to inflation, reduced economic output, trade imbalance etc.
Mind you, even if you make $200.00 more per month what good is it if you pay $8.00 per gallon of gas, if your insurance (medical, car, house, mortgage, credit card insurance) is 30% to 40% of your wages and your taxes get to be 35% to 45% of your income? Look at the war spending in the last years and you can see it coming. The taxes will go up.
At this point, the world's economy will even out somehow. For the US, it is important to maintain a general manufacturing infrastructure and know how until, say 20-30 years from now, so that we can pick up from when we dropped the ball about ten years ago.
However, at that point, we will be what we call today Europe, "the old world." The far East will be the vibrant place where the last Earth frontier is conquered.
April 17, 2007 3:00 PMOutsourcing will continue, but when highly tech-oriented products are concerned, the developed world will be one step up, and that decides the real position. Research on higher technology and efficient system establishment will always give USA its edge, which they continue to enjoy. Cola weather made in USA or China makes little implication yo US eccomomy.
April 18, 2007 2:01 AMWe have been printing books in China and Thailand along with other products for the past 7 years. It has not been easy,and mistakes have been made. It has taken years and countless trips to China to learn how to and what to do and how to say it to get the job done correctly.
Now as the level of sophistication in printing as well as wireless networks and knowing the pitfalls, this can be a very profitable business.
There are a lot of scams and people in business that will say anything to get your business but may have no idea how to really do it much less export it. It takes time to learn the ropes but once you do it's a good ride.
April 19, 2007 11:20 AM


