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What We’ve Learned from the Economic Crisis

The economic crisis took a heavy toll on U.S. businesses last year. As conditions improve and sectors begin to recover, what lessons can be drawn from the downturn? Can they show us how to avoid similar challenges in the future?



The recession that began in December 2007 has had a profound effect on the global economy, leading many businesses to re-evaluate the market conditions that drive sustainable, long-term profitability. Lessons from the most severe downturn since the Great Depression will undoubtedly serve a role in future financial planning, altering how companies and consumers approach economic challenges.

In the United States, the real-estate pricing bubble and the mortgage crisis were some of the earliest catalysts of the economic downturn, and they brought to light several key lessons regarding the housing market. Housing prices reached a peak in May 2006, then fell for 42 months before bottoming out, in the process shedding roughly 33 percent of their value in nominal terms, according to Standard and Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Prices Indices.

According to the New York TimesEconomix blog, the decline in the housing market proved that real estate value cannot rise indefinitely “and prices in unconstrained areas must eventually find their way back to the construction costs,” returning housing bubbles to the fundamental limits of supply and demand.

Economic policies play a critical role in maintaining housing market strength, and can help avoid a situation in which “our tax code encourages people to finance their homes with as much debt as possible,” eventually leading to irresponsible lending, the Times adds.

“Another lesson that could be learned is that maybe [it] is not a good idea to make mortgage loans to people who can’t afford them. That one seems pretty straightforward but it runs into a stone wall in Congress,” Kenneth Scott, professor of law and business at Stanford Law School, said in an October interview with economic research agency Luxembourg for Finance.

Governmental economic policies garnered greater attention throughout the crisis and continue to be a significant focus in the effort to prevent or mitigate the effects of future downturns. Many of the policy lessons learned in the recession involve corporate reform and compliance practices.

In a speech at Columbia University in early December, William C. Dudley, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, said that financial authorities should have taken a more active role in businesses’ risk management strategies before and during the economic crisis.

“We should also have pushed harder for better management information systems and more simplified corporate organizations and structures. We should have done more to identify best practices in terms of risk management, liquidity, capital and compensation and pushed harder to force the laggards to move to best practice standards,” Dudley explained.

Government stimulus spending also became a source of contention, particularly in terms of stabilizing the job market. Although the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) pledged significant funding toward infrastructure projects intended to boost job creation, many of the efforts fell short. Unemployment climbed to a 26-year high in 2009, prompting a supplementary job stimulus plan to be announced in December.

“To achieve sustainable employment growth, the infrastructure package of the ‘jobs bill’ should not be limited to assisting states with deferred maintenance projects,” David A. Raymond, president and CEO of the American Council of Engineering Companies, writes in the National Journal’s Expert Blog on transportation. “Substantive improvement projects that support good-paying jobs in a sector that has been hard hit by the recession will create and keep millions of jobs for years, whereas quick-hit repaving is done in days or weeks at the end of which the jobs vanish.”

Consumers, too, learned a great deal from the recession, scaling back their purchasing habits and changing the nature of their customer or client relationships with businesses.

A survey from Consumer Reports found that between September 2008 and September 2009, 71 percent of consumers claimed they purchased only what they absolutely needed, 39 percent said they started putting more money into their savings and 95 percent of those said they would continue to do so after the recession was over. Two-thirds of respondents stated that if they were given $10,000 tax-free, they would use it on paying off their debts or adding to their savings.

“Now that the economy is showing signs of recovery, we may soon see if consumers retain the lessons learned through this difficult period and follow through on those good intentions,” Noreen Perotta, editor of the Consumer Reports Money Adviser newsletter, wrote in an analysis of the findings.

Although useful for cutting costs, a drop in consumer confidence and willingness to spend also meant reduced demand for companies’ products and services, further slowing down the economy. To overcome consumer reluctance, many businesses learned to make the most of their marketing strategies despite the recession.

According to marketing magazine BtoB, 60 percent of firms cut their marketing budgets in response to the downturn, however, “being challenged to work with smaller budgets has taught marketers how to do more with less, and many say they will continue these practices in better times.”

Some of these strategies included cutting back on mass media advertising in favor of less expensive Internet marketing, as well as a greater reliance on free information sources, such as social networking sites, for spotting trends and reaching out to target demographics.

While it may be too early to make any long-term predictions, the recession will undoubtedly affect the way we react to future economic challenges, just as earlier crises influenced forecasts and expectations of the current downturn.

“Some amazing businesses will be born in this recession, businesses that will create jobs and opportunities,” MSN Money notes. “If you learn the right lessons from this recession, you’ll be ready and waiting for them.”

Earlier

Stimulus Funds’ Impact on Infrastructure Upgrades

Employment Conditions Lag Behind Economic Recovery

New Job-Creation Plan Targets Small Businesses

Resources

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices
Nov. 24, 2009

What We’ve Learned: Ugly Truths About Housing
by Edward L. Glaeser
Economix (The New York Times), Sept. 8, 2009

Lessons Learned from the Crisis: a View from the US
Luxembourg for Finance, Oct. 23, 2009

Speech: Still More Lessons from the Crisis
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Dec. 7, 2009

What Have We Learned from the Recovery Act?
Expert Blogs: Transportation (National Journal), Dec. 7, 2009

Splurging on Savings
by Noreen Perotta
Consumer Reports, Sept. 29, 2009

Lessons Learned from Marketing in a Recession
by Kate Maddox
BtoB, Nov. 16, 2009

5 Lessons from the Recession
by Liz Pulliam Weston
MSN Money, May 11, 2009

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